Market Forecast

Over the past week, markets saw heightened volatility driven by recurring geopolitical tensions and stronger than expected economic data. Shifting signals from the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher, with WTI rising more than 7% on the week. Solid retail sales, ISM readings, and nonfarm payrolls supported a rebound in equities, while precious metals reached new highs. Crypto assets moved in line with improving risk appetite, with Bitcoin approaching the $70k resistance level. On the flow side, BTC ETFs recorded modest weekly net inflows of about $22.3 million, an improvement from the prior week but still limited, while ETH ETFs continued to see net outflows. Quarter end rebalancing and holiday effects led to quick reversals after initial inflows. On chain and trading activity concentrated in oil and precious metals, DEX structure reshuffled, and Meteora volumes increased significantly. Stablecoin supply remained elevated, with USDC edging lower while DAI and USDS absorbed incremental flows, and A

This article offers an in-depth industry analysis of recent BTC market movements and the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine on the marketplace. By analyzing ETF capital flows, U.S. dollar liquidity, energy prices, and changes in risk appetite, it presents a 3–6 month price scenario forecast for Bitcoin along with key observation indicators. This aims to help investors build more executable trade and risk control frameworks during highly volatile market cycles.

Over the past week, markets were primarily driven by the escalation of the US Iran conflict. WTI crude rose nearly 17% and returned above the $100 level, pushing US Treasury yields higher, with the 10 year reaching 4.44%, while the US dollar strengthened. The crypto market declined by more than 6% overall, and the VIX climbed to 31. On the capital side, BTC and ETH ETFs recorded about $500 million in net outflows mid week, followed by a modest rebound.

Over the past week, global markets entered a risk-off phase, driven by hawkish Fed expectations and escalating geopolitical tensions. Climbing US Treasury yields weighed on risk asset valuations. Gold and silver, after strong rallies, each saw corrections of more than 10%. The crypto market weakened in parallel, with BTC dropping below $70,000. Meanwhile, crude oil held firm amid expectations of potential supply shocks, and energy factors continued to disrupt the inflation outlook. On the capital front, both BTC and ETH ETFs recorded net outflows, reflecting a slowdown in short-term capital inflows. Nevertheless, total AUM remained at elevated levels, as long-term allocation capital has not exited the market. On-chain, DEX liquidity became increasingly concentrated in leading and highly efficient protocols, with Meteora’s rapid ascent reshaping trading dynamics. Marginal growth in stablecoin supply stemmed from protocol-based assets, and DeFi credit demand shifted primarily back to stablecoin arbitrage and

Gate Alpha has officially launched its points mechanism, built around four core strengths: speed, simplicity, quality, and security. It offers a seamless connection between centralized exchange (CEX) and decentralized exchange (DEX) trading ecosystems. Gate Alpha enables users to explore high-quality assets with minimal barriers and trade early-stage, high-potential on-chain tokens directly using USDT from their exchange accounts. The new points mechanism brings strong time sensitivity, diverse user engagement formats, and substantial incentives. As part of a limited three-week Points Carnival, Gate Alpha is rolling out five themed campaigns that deliver multi-layered rewards, including token airdrops, mystery boxes, and access to a prize pool worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. Individual accounts can earn over 130 USDT in rewards during the event.

On-chain data shows that DOGE has triggered a rare Hash Ribbon buy signal, which usually indicates a market recovery and upward opportunity. However, the momentum indicator RSI has shown a downward bend. If it cannot break through the resistance level, it may enter a consolidation phase this summer.

This article systematically examines the chain of events behind the October 2025 crypto market crash: from global risk aversion sparked by Trump’s tariff remarks, to the USDe depegging, loop loan liquidations, and the subsequent wave of market maker blowups. It reveals the inherent fragility of high-yield stablecoin mechanisms. The article also shows how leverage stacking can unleash systemic risk under extreme market stress, underscoring the unbreakable financial law for investors: high yield means high risk.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin has stabilized above $115,000, while Ethereum broke through $4,200, leading a rebound in altcoins. Falcon secured a strategic investment of $10 million from M2 Capital and Cypher Capital, surging 27.2% within 24 hours. Bella Protocol formed a strategic partnership with AITECH, driving BEL up 36.9%. Kalshi partnered with Pyth Network to bring real-time prediction market data on-chain for the first time. Asset manager Amundi is entering the crypto ETF market, further accelerating the integration of digital assets with traditional finance. Following recent liquidations, the market has deleveraged overall, but structural capital and institutional demand remain intact.

On October 17, Bitcoin dropped from $116,000 to approximately $104,500. This significant decline has raised market concerns about a new bottom. In this article, we analyze current market dynamics and potential risks in depth. We examine data on derivatives contract liquidations, ETF net flows, technical support levels, and intermediate- to long-term trends to assess whether the crypto market is shifting into a bearish phase.

Gate Research Institute stated that BTC is currently consolidating at low levels within the $108,000–$109,000 range, lacking a clear short-term direction. ETH is fluctuating between $3,850–$4,050, with selling pressure still present but the decline narrower than in previous periods.

Weekly Report Date: October 27, 2025; Important Notice: The opinions and information herein are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice for any individual; Strategy Recommendation: BTC Bullish Calendar Spread.

Gate Research noted that BTC has recently been consolidating between $108,000 and $115,000, with short-term moving averages converging and market direction remaining uncertain. If the price holds above $107,000, the range-bound movement may continue; a breakout above $115,000 with rising volume could open the door to a new upward leg. ETH has been fluctuating between $3,850 and $4,250, showing weaker momentum, but a breakout above $4,100–$4,200 could reignite its uptrend. Overall, the market continues to oscillate within key ranges, while liquidity conditions remain cautious.

The article examines increased tension in the crypto market as the Bitcoin white paper celebrates its 17th anniversary. Although the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates, Bitcoin’s price has not stabilized. Doubts regarding the feasibility of a decentralized future have increased throughout the market.

Weekly Report Date: November 3, 2025. Please note that all opinions and information provided are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Strategy Recommendation: BTC Reverse Bullish Calendar Spread. For a limited time, option fee discounts are available: https://www.gate.com/zh/campaigns/3109

Gate Research reported that Bitcoin fell below $100,000 this week for the first time since June, hitting a low of $99,932 and breaking below its 200-day moving average, marking the second-largest single-day drop of the year.